Forget emotional wins.
There's always a letdown for teams coming off big wins – especially college teams that consistent entirely of young, excitable players. Even consummately professional teams are affected by the post-victory blues. This year the New England Patriots beat the Saints before falling to the erratic New York Jets. Tom Brady looks about as unhappy as a man with a perfect life can look. Also remember to watch out for teams that are looking too far forward. Underdogs frequently have their way with teams about to go head-to-head with a rival. The best idea: Find the most boring stretch of a team's schedule and bet on that.