Another reliable way to beat the spread: Find the teams with massive turnover totals. Eli Manning's Giants have turned over the ball an unholy number of times, but everything in sports and life deviates toward the mean – especially when teams are mediocre rather than outright bad. And remember to bet on teams with erratic offenses rather than solid defenses. It is more likely that a bad offense gets away with a few fumbles and potential interceptions than that a great defense suddenly forgets how to do the job.
Credit: Al Bello / Getty Images
The 2014 Adventure Issue
From Iceland's Highway 1 to Utah's Canyonlands, an epic itinerary for modern explorers.
Plus: Building a Bigger Action Hero
ON NEWSSTANDS NOW
Duke Lacrosse and the Fog of Scandal
How Thailand's Most Notorious Prison Became a Fight Club
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